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Modelling Tenants' Choices in the Public Rented Sector: A Stated Preference Approach

Centre for Urban and Regional Studies, School of Public Policy, J. G. Smith Building, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK, J.B.Walker{at}bham.ac.uk

Alex Marsh

School for Policy Studies, University of Bristol, 8 Priory Road, Bristol, BS8 1TZ, UK, Alex.Marsh{at}bristol.ac.uk

Mark Wardman

Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds, 36 University Road, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK, mwardman{at}its.leeds.ac.uk

Pat Niner

Centre for Urban and Regional Studies, School of Public Policy, J. G. Smith Building, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK, P.M.Niner{at}bham.ac.uk

This paper uses a stated preference (SP) approach to examine the potential housing choices of tenants in the UK public housing sector. The paper begins by explaining the policy significance of the choices that such tenants might make if alternative dwellings were offered to them. It then discusses the SP approach in general before explaining the way in which it is used in this study. The results of the SP modelling exercise are presented. These suggest that tenants are unlikely to move to housing estates that they see as being worse than their current estate solely in response to lower rents. This is because a number of factors other than rent are of more significance in their potential housing decisions.

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