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The Decline of the Metropolitan Economy

School of Architecture and Urban Planning, University of California, Los Angeles

Kathy van Ness

School of Architecture and Urban Planning, University of California, Los Angeles

This paper identifies certain forces underlying the recent declines of population and income in US metropolitan areas relative to the remainder of the nation. Determinants specifically examined are income, unemployment rate, occupational mix, age of the population, and climate. A disaggregation of the sample shows that the determinants of change differ markedly between areas experiencing relative growth and decline of per-capita income and population. The finding argues for selective regional or metropolitan development policy.

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